AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Jul 26, 2025

GĂ©nesis

Home
VS
21:00

CD Motagua

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
GĂ©nesis Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
CD Motagua Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.73 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.7
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
GĂ©nesis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
CD Motagua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
GĂ©nesis Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 Génesis vs Lobos Upn… 2-1
May 04 GĂ©nesis vs CD Olimpia 4-0
Apr 26 GĂ©nesis vs Juticalpa 1-0
Mar 30 GĂ©nesis vs Victoria 3-3
Mar 06 Génesis vs Real Espa… 2-0
Mar 02 GĂ©nesis vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Feb 23 GĂ©nesis vs Juticalpa 0-1
Jan 30 GĂ©nesis vs Victoria 1-0
Jan 19 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-1
Dec 07 Génesis vs Real Espa… 2-0
CD Motagua Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 17 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 2-0
May 15 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 1-0
Apr 27 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 1-1
Apr 20 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 1-2
Apr 13 CD Motagua vs Juticalpa 5-1
Apr 08 CD Motagua vs Lobos Upn… 2-1
Feb 23 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 2-0
Feb 16 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 0-2
Feb 12 CD Motagua vs Juticalpa 0-3
Dec 23 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • CD Motagua in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
GĂ©nesis Power 0
CD Motagua Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.