AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Oct 04, 2025

Persita

Home
VS
12:00

Semen Padang

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Persita Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Semen Padang Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.85 - 0.46
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Persita Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Semen Padang Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (27%) 1-0 (23%) 0-1 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Persita Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Persita vs Persib Ba… 2-1
Sep 27 Persita vs Barito Pu… 5-0
Sep 21 Persita vs Persijap 1-2
Sep 21 Persita vs Persiba B… 3-2
Sep 13 Persita vs Persija J… 0-0
Sep 11 Persita vs PSM Makas… 2-1
Aug 24 Persita vs Persepam … 1-1
Aug 16 Persita vs Persebaya… 0-1
Aug 10 Persita vs Persija J… 4-0
May 23 Persita vs PSM Makas… 1-0
Semen Padang Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 26 Semen Pad… vs Bali Unit… 1-3
Sep 19 Semen Pad… vs Persebaya… 1-0
Sep 11 Semen Pad… vs PSBS Biak… 1-2
Aug 22 Semen Pad… vs PSM Makas… 1-1
Aug 15 Semen Pad… vs Dewa Unit… 2-0
Aug 09 Semen Pad… vs Persib Ba… 2-0
May 24 Semen Pad… vs Arema FC 0-2
May 18 Semen Pad… vs Persik Ke… 1-1
May 04 Semen Pad… vs Persepam … 2-1
Apr 27 Semen Pad… vs Persija J… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Semen Padang struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Persita to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Persita Power 0
Semen Padang Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Persita Position

+10

Position Gap

16

Semen Padang Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.