AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Aug 23, 2025

Persebaya Surabaya

Home
VS
12:00

Bali United

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Persebaya Surabaya Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Bali United Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 0.68 - 2.19
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Persebaya Surabaya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Bali United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (14%) 0-1 (12%) 0-3 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-3 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Persebaya Surabaya Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Persebaya… vs Persita 0-1
Aug 08 Persebaya… vs PSIM Yogy… 0-1
May 23 Persebaya… vs Bali Unit… 1-3
May 18 Persebaya… vs Pusamania… 1-1
May 05 Persebaya… vs Persik Ke… 3-3
Apr 28 Persebaya… vs Arema FC 1-1
Apr 20 Persebaya… vs Persepam … 1-0
Mar 07 Persebaya… vs PSM Makas… 0-1
Feb 21 Persebaya… vs Dewa Unit… 2-0
Jan 17 Persebaya… vs Malut Uni… 0-2
Bali United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 15 Bali Unit… vs Malut Uni… 3-3
Aug 10 Bali Unit… vs Persik Ke… 1-1
May 23 Bali Unit… vs Persebaya… 1-3
Apr 25 Bali Unit… vs PSM Makas… 0-1
Apr 10 Bali Unit… vs Dewa Unit… 0-0
Mar 11 Bali Unit… vs PSBS Biak… 0-2
Feb 03 Bali Unit… vs Arema FC 1-0
Jan 20 Bali Unit… vs Semen Pad… 1-5
Jan 12 Bali Unit… vs Persik Ke… 1-3
Dec 28 Bali Unit… vs Persebaya… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 23, 2025 Persebaya Surabaya 1 - 3 Bali United Liga 1
Dec 28, 2024 Bali United 2 - 0 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Apr 24, 2024 Persebaya Surabaya 0 - 2 Bali United Liga 1
Oct 20, 2023 Bali United 3 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Feb 18, 2023 Bali United 4 - 0 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Sep 02, 2022 Persebaya Surabaya 0 - 1 Bali United Liga 1
Jun 20, 2022 Bali United 1 - 0 Persebaya Surabaya Piala Presiden
Mar 25, 2022 Bali United 0 - 3 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Jan 05, 2022 Persebaya Surabaya 3 - 1 Bali United Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Persebaya Surabaya Power 0
Bali United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Persebaya Surabaya Position

+3

Position Gap

8

Bali United Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.