AI Match Insights

Liga 1 Aug 08, 2025

Pusamania Borneo

Home
VS
08:30

Bhayangkara FC

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Pusamania Borneo Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Bhayangkara FC Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.90 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pusamania Borneo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Bhayangkara FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Pusamania Borneo Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Pusamania… vs Persebaya… 1-1
May 10 Pusamania… vs Persepam … 2-3
Apr 18 Pusamania… vs PSM Makas… 1-1
Apr 11 Pusamania… vs Persib Ba… 2-2
Mar 10 Pusamania… vs Dewa Unit… 0-1
Mar 02 Pusamania… vs Persis So… 0-1
Feb 22 Pusamania… vs Persita 1-2
Feb 10 Pusamania… vs Malut Uni… 3-0
Jan 14 Pusamania… vs Semen Pad… 1-3
Dec 20 Pusamania… vs Persebaya… 2-1
Bhayangkara FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Bhayangka… vs PSIM Yogy… 2-1
Dec 19 Bhayangka… vs PSIM Yogy… 1-2
Sep 19 Bhayangka… vs PSIM Yogy… 0-1
Apr 20 Bhayangka… vs Bali Unit… 2-1
Mar 28 Bhayangka… vs Persib Ba… 0-0
Mar 16 Bhayangka… vs Dewa Unit… 2-3
Feb 26 Bhayangka… vs Pusamania… 4-0
Feb 04 Bhayangka… vs Persebaya… 1-0
Dec 17 Bhayangka… vs Persita 3-0
Nov 27 Bhayangka… vs Persija J… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bhayangkara FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 26, 2024 Pusamania Borneo 4 - 0 Bhayangkara FC Liga 1
Aug 18, 2023 Bhayangkara FC 0 - 2 Pusamania Borneo Liga 1
Feb 25, 2023 Pusamania Borneo 1 - 3 Bhayangkara FC Liga 1
Sep 13, 2022 Bhayangkara FC 2 - 2 Pusamania Borneo Liga 1
Feb 16, 2022 Pusamania Borneo 1 - 1 Bhayangkara FC Liga 1
Oct 27, 2021 Bhayangkara FC 2 - 1 Pusamania Borneo Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pusamania Borneo to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pusamania Borneo Power 0
Bhayangkara FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Pusamania Borneo Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Bhayangkara FC Position

Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.