AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Mar 08, 2025

Burnley

Home
VS
15:00

Bolton

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Burnley Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Bolton Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.83 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Burnley Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Burnley vs Doncaster 1-0
Mar 04 Burnley vs Charlton 1-0
Mar 04 Burnley vs Cardiff 1-2
Mar 01 Burnley vs AFC Wimbl… 0-1
Mar 01 Burnley vs AFC Wimbl… 0-1
Mar 01 Burnley vs Lincoln 4-3
Feb 25 Burnley vs Northampt… 1-2
Feb 25 Burnley vs Brentford 0-1
Feb 22 Burnley vs Harrogate 2-0
Feb 22 Burnley vs Rotherham… 0-1
Bolton Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Bolton vs Birmingham 3-1
Mar 04 Bolton vs Wycombe 2-0
Mar 01 Bolton vs Portsmout… 1-0
Mar 01 Bolton vs Wrexham 0-0
Mar 01 Bolton vs Mansfield… 1-1
Feb 23 Bolton vs Watford 2-0
Feb 22 Bolton vs Eastleigh 1-2
Feb 22 Bolton vs Lincoln 0-1
Feb 22 Bolton vs Leyton Or… 2-1
Feb 19 Bolton vs Plymouth 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Burnley in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2025 Burnley 0 - 0 Bolton League One
Dec 26, 2024 Bolton 1 - 2 Burnley Pro League
Sep 21, 2024 Bolton 1 - 2 Burnley Pro League
Aug 12, 2024 Bolton 1 - 4 Burnley Pro League
Apr 01, 2024 Bolton 1 - 3 Burnley Pro League
Mar 05, 2024 Burnley 2 - 2 Bolton Pro League
Feb 03, 2024 Bolton 1 - 1 Burnley Pro League
Jan 12, 2024 Burnley 1 - 1 Bolton Pro League
Feb 08, 2022 Bolton 2 - 1 Burnley Championship
Aug 17, 2021 Burnley 0 - 1 Bolton Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Burnley to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Burnley Power 25
Bolton Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.